This is a pretty poor assumption. I don't see how you can possibly think that the game will do well regardless of how innovative it is.
That seems pretty baseless. I haven't read anything on the game that would imply that it isn't trying new and interesting things.
Well, think of it this way. Bethesda bought the license for a game that isn't their normal style, right? Now, they can either begin exploring a genre of gaming they're not used to, or they can take the game in question and build it on what they know. I think that if they tried to replicate the...
It's not like the FF series where it's a long established tradition of turned based play (Which SquareEnix should remember), if it's only the third game in a series I'd gladly invite them to change the idea entirely. Inventive series are my favorite, I hate it when they repackage the same game 5...